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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 10-02-07, 02:35 PM
Fredledingue Fredledingue is offline
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Mortgan Stanley (MS)

On the day I bought this stock (one month ago) it jumped $1.25 to $61.15 on the very second I pushed the "buy" button (bought at "market" like an idiot).
That was realy bad luck because it was at the exact moment when the stock spiked on some rumors and it stayed high all the day.

Then credit worries continued and the stock slipped but unexpectedly recovered to $69 after the rate cut.
On the day it reached $69, I didn't see it because a lightning broke the telephone line and I stayed off-line for a few days. Never mind, the day after I called my father to take a look and told him to sell it.
The time he figured out how to enter the order on the broker website, the stock fell to $68, then $67 and lower and lower and lower until $62 and the "sell" order wasn't filled.
That's not only bad luck: I had to set an open order in advance.

That's for the little story.

Now why MS?

Because it has been oversold in the credit crisis but doesn't have that much exposure in mortgage especialy subprime.
The reported a profit fall of 16% mostly due to a write off while other bankes warned of much worse results (Citi: -60%, BS: -75% etc).
Without the 1Bln write-off, incomes are improving.

When Citi (C) made their profit warning, I thought MS would fall under $60 at the open.
What a surprise to see that the opposite happened: It climbed $3 in two days. The reason is that Citi also said that they expect the situation to go back to normal soon.

Finaly I don't regret being in a bank stock today.
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Old 10-02-07, 02:54 PM
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Airelon Airelon is offline
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Nice numbers looking over things quickly. I'll do a little more digging on them, and I just might add them to my list for dips.
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Old 10-03-07, 01:39 PM
Fredledingue Fredledingue is offline
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Yeah, sorry, I posted this after the spike up (I didn't have time before).
But the recent jump took me by surprise.
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Old 10-04-07, 10:52 AM
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Airelon Airelon is offline
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Yeah, been looking over everything, and I've put this one on my "Hot List" as well.

I'll start buying a small introductory amount, and start accumulating on all the dips.
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Old 10-13-07, 11:09 AM
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Airelon Airelon is offline
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I gotta tell ya Fred, I've only started introductory buying into MS (Haven't started heavy accumulation yet), but I must say, the more I look at their positioning and moves, the more I see that I like. Thanks for pointing my nose in that direction mate.
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Old 10-14-07, 01:36 PM
Fredledingue Fredledingue is offline
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Nice to read it.

I was tempted to sell at $69, but I put finaly an order at $72 and will probably rise it as the stock rises. If things go well (and if the realy wrote off everything last quarter) it will go to $75~80.
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Old 11-01-07, 07:59 PM
Fredledingue Fredledingue is offline
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MS like other banks took a hit: -7.4% today.

IMO a good buying oportunity. Not only MS, banks in general. C is at 38. BAC is also down sharply. etc.
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Old 11-01-07, 10:49 PM
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Airelon Airelon is offline
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Yeah, thankfully only have an introductory nibble into MS - so that wasn't fun, but I am still looking strongly for an accumulation opportunity when the market decides it's time to go bargain hunting. P/E is 7 right now. I'm sitting on the sidelines licking my chops.
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