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That is something I am still trying to develop philosophy on. I think for trades it should stay pretty darn mechanical. I suppose it is good to remain flexible to a point but I like to bias entry with some sound research and then wait for some technical setup and entry.
With investing you need to use some other analysis as well while the position is ongoing. I would not DCA a stock that is down 20% because it just broke north of a bear flag...
But still - I really feel like going with Ed Seykota on this and forget about trying to predict anything. Maybe it makes me feel good to try and predict what will happen as a reason for getting into a stock, but everything else seems better left to money management and exit srategy or trend riding (Ed's way). There have been plenty of positions I've been in that news makes me think that I should definitely do this, only to see a completely unexpected reaction. Maybe with time you get better at this, however, I haven't seen a consistently good commentator predict movements based on anything other than price action.
*note - all statements double as questions - that's why I'm posting
Last edited by Jerklian; 07-16-08 at 05:48 AM.
Reason: missing "not" in sentence (giving exact opposite of intended meaning)
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