Defining Trends, The End of Gold?

Posted by Blain Reinkensmeyer
April 24, 2008 at 9:51 pm

Gold has made an amazing run topping $1000 in the middle of March, 2008. From there though a huge three day sell off had investors taking profits and institutions changing hands in a big way. Since the sell off the precious metal hasn’t been able to rally and continues to lose ground. Is the gold bull market over?

Tonight I have featured two big ETFs that give a great representation of what gold and its sector stocks are up to. The first is the Streettracks Gold Trust (GLD) which tracks the price of gold bullion, and secondly I have Gold Miners Fund (GDX) which tracks the Amex gold miners index (stocks like GG, AUY, ABX, GOLD, etc.). GLD is still technically holding up, but the sell off today puts GDX completely in the bears hands. Let’s take a look.

gld-042408.png

gdx-042808.png

From here the hope for gold bulls is that the precious metal can hold the $875 key support level (GLD $86. See chart above). Either way you look at it though there will need to be a significant price recovery for gold to make a good comeback. The recent strength in the dollar only adds to the case that gold is done with its long term move.

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Comment by TFS
2008-04-25 11:30:41

Adjusted for inflation gold if far from its all times high and could go to $2000. But who knows, it could also go back to $500…

 
Comment by jamy
2008-04-26 15:57:17

I have invested gold the last 6 years and I have seen gold went up and down every year but over all it went up. I could not wait for gold to go down a bit more say 750 before I load up the truck mrgreen

Jamy

 
Comment by jamy
2008-04-27 00:16:30

I wait for it to go back to 500 and I will buy more.

 
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