Blain’s Nightly Stock Picks, March 5 2008

Posted by Blain Reinkensmeyer
March 5, 2008 at 7:05 pm

Starting tonight these posts will be titled Blain’s Nightly Stock Picks instead of just Nightly Stock Picks.

The market today added to yesterday’s closing hour rally, closing up roughly .5% across the board. Secondary support is still in tact for both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite.

What’s HOT Right Now: Oil-Gas Field Services, Oilgas Drilling, Oilgas US Explorations and Production, Metal Ores Gold/Silver, Steel Producers, and Fertilizers.

NASDAQ Composite

2250 support still holding up as of now. It is anyone’s guess where we will end up though by the close Friday.

nasdaq-030508.png

S& P 500 (SPY)

Same deal for the S&P 500. $132.50 support still holds.

spy-030508.png

Dryships (DRYS)

After mentioning DRYS as a buy on Monday, seeing yesterday’s early morning sell off was rough. If you weathered the storm though you should now be up on your position as the stock closed at $75.09. (Original buypoint $73ish).

Note: DRYS is a speculative buy based on the GNK, DRYS pair trade.

drys-030508.png

Goldcorp (GG)

After a high volume sell off yesterday GG rebounded nicely today to close back above $44. This stock looks like it wants to push higher.

Original Feature, $35.06. Latest Buypoint, Break of $40.

gg-030508.png

Buenaventura (BVN)

A decent base forming right now for BVN, next buy point looks to be about $78.60.

BVN was originally mentioned at $58.32.

bvn-030508.png

Potash (POT)

Only featuring one fertilizer stock tonight, but make sure to keep a close eye on the rest as well. POT has held up nicely in the midst of heavier volume selling. Next buy point is technically with a heavy volume break at $166.50.

Original buypoint, $145.

pot-030508.png

Hess (HES)

Originally a buy at $94, this oil stock could be poised for a move past $100 in the near future. A heavy volume break at $99.50 is your next technical buy point.

hes-030508.png

A K Steel (AKS)

The break at $55 was your latest buy point on AKS. Lower volume today is a point of concern.

Original buypoint, $49.50.

aks-030508.png

Steel Dynamics (STLD)

I personally bought STLD just below $57 and sold it at $62 last week to seal my profits. It seems this Steel stock has more in it though (and that could very well be an understatement). Nice move today back above $63 was your second buy point.

Original buypoint, $56.

stld-030508.png

Diamond Offshore (DO)

This oil and gas drilling company is basing out nicely. Look for a heavy volume move past $126 to make for a good entry.

do-030508.png

Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO)

I originally posted CRZO at $54.41, and it hasn’t looked back since. I think the move back above $60 today makes for another good entry. Place stops accordingly.

crzo-030508.png

Gafisa (GFA)

I am now looking for a good base to form for this home builder. Give the stock some time and it could be on the move. Next buy point is a high volume break at $43.

Note: GFA is the first home and commercial building stock featured here on the site.

gfa-030508.png

Perigao (PDA)

Another first for this site, a meat products company. I like it right here at $51.35 with a 3 - 7% stop. First target price would be $54. You could buy half now and half then, for example.

pda-030508.png

See you back here tomorrow night.

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Comment by Justin Subscribed to comments via email
2008-03-06 01:26:24

Hey there Blain. First, thanks for the new posting schedule, I like it quite a bit. Here’s my question. When you say things like “here are the hot stocks this week” or here are the “movers today” … how do you find this information? I imagine there is a place you can look to see the most active stocks by industry or by sector, but I don’t know where to find such a list. Where do you look? Thanks a bunch. -Justin

Comment by Blain Reinkensmeyer
2008-03-06 09:25:59

That comes from me just watching the market and my watch list throughout the day. I also subscribe to dailygraphs.com which is a professional charting service and that helps me recap my stock picks as well.

 
 
Comment by Trader X
2008-03-06 14:15:09

Some good charts there you have found. Although lately the follow thru on a lot of chart setups has been fairly poor. Most of that is just the skittishness of the markets and will pass over time.

I think the steel stocks will be the next sector to take profits - as will the AG stocks. They have been hitting the high flyer techs for few months now, eventually the selling will rotate. I am not short them now but have them on watch for trend change.

Anyone wishing to learn more about trading and day trading in particular should check out http://www.mytradingrobot.com The site is completely FREE and gives out live day trading signals in real time. There is a ton of information on the site as well.

 
2008-03-10 18:13:40

[...] definitely make mistakes, and DRYS was one. I should have never tried a speculative pair trade with the market in a confirmed downtrend. I sold half my position at $72 and half at $69 to cut my [...]

 
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