USO Followup, Great Odds

Posted by Blain Reinkensmeyer on Wednesday January 17, 2007

USO1.png

I first posted on the United States Oil Fund (USO) yesterday pointing out possible opportunity if the channel could be broken. Well, after today’s close on heavy volume concluding to the upside after trading down below $43, I am calling USO as a favorable odds buy. What I like about the last 3 days activity are the two heavy volume days that both closed towards the upper ends of their ranges. If you bought at $44.15 (or the closing price), and placed a stop at $43.65, you have a downward range of $.50 or just over 1%. On the upside, the stock may very well gap tomorrow (see my nice blue scribble of a bar) and could move up to $46ish. With a move to $46.15 you are getting 4 to 1 on your money, with only 1% risk. Outlook would be a day or two, and is simply a quick trade catching a rebound. Note also that the 10 day moving average is at about $46.

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2007-01-30 16:33:28
[…] The original bullishness in the United States Oil Fund (USO) has paid off, and after bottoming out around $43, the fund has moved strongly to the upside. USO was up some 5.3% today after oil overall had a nice afternoon. Shares of Exxon Mobil (XOM) were up close about 1.5%, and the Oil Tracking Fund (OIH) also had a nice day today closing up close to 3%. […]
 
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